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Home Economy

The BRICS Currency Revolution: What It Means for Global Trade

Seun Okewoye by Seun Okewoye
October 24, 2024
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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The BRICS Currency Revolution: What It Means for Global Trade

(241023) -- KAZAN, Oct. 23, 2024 (Xinhua) -- Leaders of BRICS countries pose for a group photo during the 16th BRICS Summit in Kazan, Russia, Oct. 23, 2024. The summit was hosted by Russian President Vladimir Putin, and attended by Chinese President Xi Jinping, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (via video conference), Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and President of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan. (Xinhua/Li Xueren)

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For decades, the United States dollar has reigned supreme as the global reserve currency, facilitating international trade and finance. However, the recent proposal by BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) to create a new currency for trade among themselves threatens to challenge the dollar’s dominance.

The Rise of the Dollar

Following World War II, the Bretton Woods Agreement (1944) established the US dollar as the global reserve currency, replacing the British pound. This agreement created a system where countries pegged their currencies to the dollar, which, in turn, was backed by gold. The dollar’s widespread adoption was fueled by:

  1. Post-War Economic Dominance: The US emerged as the world’s largest economy, with unparalleled industrial and military might.
  2. Global Trade: The US dollar became the standard unit of exchange for international trade, with major commodities like oil priced in dollars.
  3. US Military Presence: The US maintained a significant military presence worldwide, ensuring stability and security for global trade.

Dollar Hegemony: A Tool for US Power

The dollar’s dominance has granted the US significant economic and geopolitical influence:

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  1. Seigniorage: The US benefits from the dollar’s widespread use, earning interest on foreign-held dollar reserves.
  2. Economic Sanctions: The US can impose crippling sanctions on nations by restricting access to dollar-denominated transactions.
  3. Global Financial Surveillance: The US monitors international financial transactions, enabling it to track and influence global economic activity.

US Sanctions: A Double-Edged Sword

The US has wielded economic sanctions to exert pressure on nations, including:

  1. Iran: Sanctions aimed at curbing nuclear development and terrorism support.
  2. Venezuela: Sanctions targeting the Maduro regime’s alleged human rights abuses.
  3. Russia: Sanctions responding to the Ukraine conflict and alleged election interference.

However, sanctions have also sparked criticism for:

  1. Harming Civilians: Restricting access to essential goods and services.
  2. Undermining Global Cooperation: Encouraging nations to seek alternative financial systems.

BRICS Challenge: A New Currency

At the recent BRICS summit, Vladimir Putin called for an alternative international payment system, sparking discussions about de-dollarization. Putin emphasized the importance of moving away from the US dollar, which he described as being used as a “weapon.” Nearly 95% of trade between Russia and China is already conducted using rubles and yuan, illustrating the shift in bilateral trade away from the dollar.

The BRICS nations’ proposed currency aims to:

  1. Reduce Dollar Dependence: Bypass US sanctions and trade restrictions.
  2. Promote Economic Cooperation: Facilitate trade among BRICS nations.
  3. Assert Economic Independence: Challenge US dominance in global finance.

Implications and Uncertainty

A successful BRICS currency could:

  1. De-dollarize Global Trade: Reduce demand for the US dollar.
  2. Erode US Economic Influence: Undermine the dollar’s reserve status.
  3. Shift Global Economic Power: Signal a decline in US hegemony.

Summit Insights and Future Directions

The summit, held in the Russian city of Kazan, focused on exploring ways to reduce reliance on the US dollar, particularly in light of its use as a political tool. Putin’s remarks came as Russia seeks to create a settlement and payment infrastructure that would bypass the SWIFT system, an initiative meant to further reduce dependency on Western financial systems.

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While the move to de-dollarize the global economy has garnered attention, it also raised concerns among some BRICS members. Brazil and India, for instance, are wary of the group becoming overly pro-Chinese or anti-Western. Despite the talk of financial independence, the summit’s communique revealed that little concrete progress had been made on establishing an alternative international payment system.

The summit was notable for providing Putin with his largest international platform since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The event was attended by nine BRICS members, including Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Chinese Premier Li Qiang, and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa.

The summit’s final communique is expected to focus on issues such as global conflict, with a single reference to a joint Brazil-China peace plan for Ukraine. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has rejected this proposal, calling it a “half-hearted settlement plan.”

The event also brought attention to the future of BRICS itself, now in its 16th year. With growing interest from countries in the Global South seeking to join the organization, debates emerged about whether the bloc should expand further. Brazil, alongside India, voiced concerns about BRICS being reshaped into a purely anti-Western alliance. Eventually, a diverse group of new members was approved, including nations like Cuba, Bolivia, and Turkey, a NATO member, raising questions about the future direction of the organization.

As the BRICS nations forge ahead with their proposal, the world watches with bated breath. Will the dollar’s dominance persist, or will a new currency usher in a multipolar economic order? Only time will tell.


Author
Seun Okewoye

Sources:

  • Bretton Woods Agreement (1944)
  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)
  • US Department of the Treasury
  • BRICS Summit Declarations

Please note that this article is intended for general information purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

Tags: BRICSChinacurrency revolutionde-dollarizationeconomic powergeopolitical influenceglobal economyGlobal TradeIndiainternational financePutinRussiatrade policyUSUS dollar
Seun Okewoye

Seun Okewoye

Seun is a website developer, a financial market analyst, trader and fund manager

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